He won’t hold an election if he’s going to lose it…

Posted by Costas Stopas

He won’t hold an election if he’s going to lose it…

During the post-war geopolitical planning, Turkey was one of the most valuable gems of Western power in the world. This was happening because:

Geographically, Turkey was like a dagger in the soft underbelly of the Soviet Empire. In addition, it was an arm of steel for Western intervention in the Middle East region.

Secular Turkey was the most successful example of an Islamic society’s integration of Western lifestyle and Western values.

Thanks to its demographic dynamics, it has maintained the largest NATO army after the United States.

All this means that the West has several reasons to tolerate Turkey’s whims. Today the situation seems to be changing radically.

Aggression against Greece threatens to crush NATO’s pillar in the north-east of the country. Mediterranean and the Balkans. If there is interference between the two countries, others on both sides are likely to be involved…

The accession of Sweden and Finland to NATO paralyzes the alliance at a critical time.

The elections in Turkey are suitable for isolating the neighbor from the alliance…

Erdogan will win.

The prosecutions against the mayor of Istanbul demonstrate the Erdogan regime’s determination to outright win the upcoming elections.

There are several observers of developments in Turkey who say that if Erdogan loses the next elections in the neighborhood, he will make sure that they do not happen. I think they are right…

The continuation of the Erdogan regime’s rule over Turkey may begin to dispel the illusions of many Westerners regarding the smooth return of the neighbor to the bosom of the West.

Many in Greece believe that this is in the best interests of our country because sooner or later the West will push Turkey out of the alliance and change the Greek borders to their own, and also take over its defense.

This is not far from the possible reality. The downside of this scenario is that Turkey outside the West, which will join forces like Russia and China, will not be … a peaceful Turkey.

In such a situation, the Greek borders will move from the field of confrontation between Greece and Turkey to the field of confrontation and friction between the great powers in the West and the East. This is something similar to what is happening now in Ukraine …

In Ukraine, even if the West completes the defeat of Russia, the country will need to rebuild from scratch.

On the other hand, the Turkey that will fully recover in the arms of the West will be the Turkey that will have to agree with Western demands to freeze all confrontations within the alliance, but it will remain in a state of hibernation, waiting for the next stage. .. chance …

Neither this nor that will be easy for Greece. The Turkish aggression fuels the difference between the demographic and economic potential of the two countries.

In the long run, the conditions for ensuring the survival of Hellenism outside the neo-Ottoman despotism appear to be the same as those that existed before the fall of Constantinople. Alignment and integration with European Mediterranean powers against Asian unrest…

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