Can we ever predict them? What is a seismic thermometer and how is it used?

Since Greece has the highest earthquake in Europe, statistically producing a major earthquake every year, thus creating a “natural laboratory” for seismicity, the “seismic thermometer” was used, a modern method, a useful scientific tool. Earthquake forecasting and seismic hazard assessment.

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In A research study published in a scientific journal, It was carried out by a leading seismologist. Gerasimos ChouliaresCurrently available new method software is used, and Used for major earthquakes in recent years in GreeceFrom January 1, 2019 to February 6, 2023, i.e. Samos, Arkalochori, Tyrnavos, etc.

“I realized that this method works well and provides good forecast data for the Greek area. It is based on the laws of physics and Theory of physical time (now cast), which was used as a method Panagiotis Varotsos. Now, it’s an advanced version of the theory, that is, the software of the method has evolved, and we’ve reached a point where it’s an additional tool in seismology. Mr. Souliaras informs enikos.gr.

According to the research, Earthquake Nowcasting (EN) is a modern method of seismic risk assessment, which evaluates the progress of the seismic cycle (EQ) in fault systems. The estimate is based on a new concept of time called “natural time”. useful scientific instrument, Uniquely assesses seismic riskThrough Seismic Probability Score (EPS), it has useful applications at regional and global scale.

“The modern systematic seismic thermometer is already used as a tool AmericaIn JapanIn China But by competent agencies in many earthquake-prone countries to help assess earthquake risk. It is used in real-time to see what earthquakes are coming, to create predictive maps. In recent years I have been working with Americans who have written new software and published results related to Greece”.

While it is pointed out Seismic thermometer method It has been widely and successfully used, among other things, for its evaluation Earth quake danger In a study of induced seismicity in global megacities, at SnowfallsAnd more recently, in a study of Volcanic eruptions.