Four scenarios to replace them in Parliament

Supreme Court advocate decision becomes the fuse of political, electoral and parliamentary developments. Georgia Adelini Order criminal charges against 11 Spartan MPs for voter fraud, as well as jail Ilias Cassidiariswhom he portrays as the true leader of the party.

Legal and parliamentary circles argue that judicial developments will have a decisive impact on the Supreme Court's (Election Court) final decision. Legitimacy of Spartans Party Participation In the 2023 national elections. They refer to it Both processes run in parallel, However, the possible conviction of the representatives for the crime of voter fraud would already corroborate the contentions of the appellants. According to reports, the decision of the electoral court is expected by June as CoE Evangelia Nika, who headed the court, and other top judges will leave due to retirement.

Note that in between, On April 24, 2024, There will also be announcements of candidates for the European elections by A1 Division of the Supreme Court. Cutting the composition of the Spartans on the basis that real leadership was exercised by Cassidiaris would serve as a further aggravating factor in the outcome of the final battle. However, if the Supreme Court disqualifies the 12 members of the Spartans, it will also indicate how the vacant parliamentary seats will be paid. The particular issue has sparked intense scenes, while seeming to divide the community of constitutional experts into two camps.

Many feel that distributing 250,000 Spartan voters to other parties – even disproportionately – hurts the will of the people, and the Spartans want repeat elections in the 12 regions that have elected MPs as a better solution. However some others They prefer the most appropriate solution to preserve the exact opposite view and distribute 12 seats proportionally to other parties. As an interim solution, a recount of the June 2023 election results without taking into account the Spartans' vote appears to be the case. Overall, the scenarios for filling the slots are as follows:

Scene one

Recounting all parties' percentages and seats without counting Spartan votes. In this case, the 243,922 votes in favor of the Spartans would be subtracted from the total number of valid votes found in the June 2023 ballot. The absolute number of crosses received by other parties does not change, but the denominator (validity) decreases, thus increasing the percentages and places. In particular, N.T. 6 more seats, SYRIZA 3 and PASOK, KKE and Pleussi Eleftherias one each. The simulation leads to the following conclusions:

NT 42.55% (from 40.56%) and 164 seats out of 158

Syriza 18.7% (from 17.83%) and 47 out of 50 seats

PASOK 12.42% (from 11.84%) and 32 out of 33 seats

K.K.E 8.07% (from 7.69%) and 21 out of 22 seats

Greek solution 4.65% (from 4.44%) and 12 seats

success 3.88% (from 3.7%) and 10 seats

Freedom sailing 3.33% (from 3.17%) and 8 out of 9 seats

Side effects

However, this situation brings significant side effects to the entire electoral map as the allocation of 300 seats based on the new percentages is done from scratch. Experienced pollsters say “theme“The Spartans' 12 seats will definitely change hands, while the “Carambolas” will threaten about 20 MPs from other parties, they explain. The same sources say the seats won by the ND will bring to their parliament. Tasso Kaitani (South of Athens), Photini Bibl (A' Athens), Lipanos Cave (Ettologernania), Mariana Tomasado (West Athens) and perhaps Evi Polyzou From the state. They are in danger of losing their headquarters due to “confusion”. Diamantis colitakis A' in Thessaloniki, Theophilos Leontorides Among Ceres etc

Accordingly, Syriza is likely to win the Athens A constituency Nikos Voutis, a defector may join the New Left. PASOK B' will be elected based in Thessaloniki Thanasis Clavinas and probably O. in II Phraeus Dimitris Diamonditis. Pleussi Eleftherias looks set to gain 2 seats in Achaia with Andreas Reglis, the second in Piraeus with Christos Aridas and lose the Epikratias constituency held by Alexandros Kazamias.

Scene two


Proportional distribution of the percentage of Spartans among all parties participating in the June 2023 elections (4.68%). In this case NT PASOK, KKE, Hellenic Solution and Pleussi Eleftherias will increase their seats to 5, SYRIZA to 3 and one each. Simulating this scenario yields the following results:

NT 42.45% and 163 seats

Syriza 18.66% and 50 seats

PASOK 12.39% and 33 seats

K.K.E 8.05% and 22 seats

Greek solution 4.65% and 13 seats

success 3.87% and 10 seats

Freedom sailing 3.32% and 9 seats
The side effect of dozens of “jams” is the same as in the first scenario as all blocks are distributed from start to finish.

Scenario three

12 seats were captured by the party's first crossover candidate, who had the largest undistributed presence in regions that elected MPs from the Spartans. For example, in Athens A, SYRIZA has the largest number of seats, which will increase its seats to 3 with the entry of Nikos Voutsis. A particular situation that the constitutionalist also wants Kostas Chrysokonos An article by “THEMA” shows an increase of 5 seats for ND, 2 seats for SYRIZA and PASOK and 5 seats each for the Hellenic Solution, KKE and Niki.

Scene four

The 11 constituencies that elected the Spartan MP should be re-polled. These are A' Athens, North and West of Athens, East Attica, B' Praea, Idolokernania, Heraklion, A' and B' Thessaloniki, Larissa. The procedure will be the same as for holding elections in single-constituency districts.

In a storm

At the same time, the Public Prosecutor's decision to prosecute the MPs caused a fresh shock in the party system. Almost immediately the George Manosos And Giannis Dimitrogallis The Spartans “photographed” the president responsible for their crime spree and declared their independence. Vasilis Stika. Mr. It is worth recalling that Stikas publicly denounced that his representatives were led by centers operating under the terms of the “Greek Mafia” and led by Ilias Kasidiaris, who was convicted in the first instance for running a criminal organization. Specific complaints led to an investigation by the Supreme Court, which resulted in the ordering of criminal charges.

Today, Vassilis Stikas is trying to assuage MPs' concerns by saying, “I will be their rock and their main defender in the investigation because I think they have done nothing reprehensible.”

However, one cannot rule out that other deputies will follow the exit door in the coming days, however, their movement will not affect the criminal developments. On the other hand, around Stiga it seems Yannis Gondis, Thanasis Chalkias, Petros Dimitriadis And Alexander SurveysThis numerically ensures the preservation of his parliamentary caucus and privileges.

Financing


Two parallel court cases with the Spartan Party will also cause a chain reaction in their finances. Electoral court judges will not only lose the annual state funding they are entitled to until 2027, but will also be asked to return the 662,000 euros they have already collected, as the Spartans coalition illegally participated in national elections. Accordingly, all 12 MPs who are declared dismissed may be asked to return their parliamentary compensation.

It is noteworthy that 12 new MPs will take office, apart from specific measures, Parliament also has preventive measures as it has done in the past. Golden Dawnand immediately freeze all financial support to the party and its members pending the conclusion of the case.

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