The Netherlands votes, but its fate… is a given: a center-right refugee from Turkey who does not want immigrants, and an extreme right… not corrupt.

Dutch voters head to the polls next Wednesday in an electoral battle Which is expected to be contradictory, according to opinion polls, and is expected to change the political landscape in the country.

After 13 years with him Mark Ruti As prime minister, the Dutch appear poised to elect either the country’s first female prime minister or an anti-corruption “crusader” who founded a party just a few months ago.

• “Anyone who claims to know who will win the election is blatantly lying,” political analyst Julia Waters told AFP.

But what seems certain is that a new face will now lead the Netherlands – the EU’s fifth-largest economy.

• Rutte’s successor as leader of the center-right VVD party is Dylan Gesselgeusea 46-year-old Turkish-born politician, arrived in the Netherlands at a young age as an asylum seeker and now wants to limit immigration.

“I came to this country as an eight-year-old refugee and I know what it means to search for freedom and security,” she told AFP during a recent election rally.

• Today, the influx of asylum seekers, along with workers from other countries and foreign students, is “excessively high,” she said.

He added: “We must reduce this number in order to provide a safe place for real refugees.”

Geiselgeuse has experience in media relations, entertains her Instagram followers by posting photos of her dogs, and is a regular on Dutch political talk shows.

But her critics say she struggles to articulate clear policies and explain how she will govern differently from Rutte, who is said to be embroiled in scandals.

“The main challenge… is the belief that the party’s election campaign lacks substance,” Sarah de Lange, a professor of political science at the University of Amsterdam, told AFP.

“Gesselgeuz confirms that it will do things differently without going into detail about what the main actions will be,” she stressed.

“The messiah”

Chest to chest With Gesilgioz’s VVD comes a newly formed party, the New Social Capital (NSC), founded by the charismatic man. Peter Umshecht.

• The 49-year-old polyglot, who studied in Britain and Italy, caused a political earthquake with his initiative to clean up the country’s politics.

“We have faced many political failures in recent years in the Netherlands,” he said in an interview with Agence France-Presse.

“…omissions and omissions…and to fix this we need reforms, including a partial reform of the Dutch state,” added Umschicht, who also takes a hard-line stance on immigration.

He is known for fighting corruption at home and in Europe, but voters face a big question mark: he has made clear that he does not want to become prime minister if his party wins.

“For me, it is secondary who becomes prime minister or even a minister,” he said, and did not rule out the possibility of appointing a prime minister who is not even on the ballot in the National Security Council.

Political analyst Goeters explains that for many Dutch people, Umschicht is “a kind of messiah” on a mission to reform the Netherlands.

“He’s basically a national hero, but a lot of people don’t know what he really represents,” he added.

Is the government honest?

In opinion polls, the former European Commissioner is directly behind these two candidates Frans Timmermans, ‘Architect’ of the EU Green Deal, leading a joint Greens-Labour coalition.

The extreme right Geert Wilders PVV is also a candidate. Support for his anti-immigration, anti-EU message is strong, and more importantly, he has Gyselgewiz’s approval to form a potential coalition.

The Farmers’ Party (BBB), which emerged from protests against measures to curb nitrogen emissions and which won a landslide victory in the Senate elections earlier this year, appears to have lost its dynamism, according to opinion polls.

• Voters say the most important issues are immigration, the housing crisis, health care and living standards.

But political reform is also a decisive factor, and constitutes a strong card in the hands of Omshecht.

“The most important issue for many Dutch voters at the moment is how we govern,” explains Waters.

The November 22 elections will mark the beginning of a long period of negotiations between parties to form a workable coalition in which each of the 150 parliamentary seats will be decisive.

The last few days will be crucial, estimates Tom Lovers, professor of political science at Leiden University.

“Between 10 and 15 percent of voters decide on Election Day. About 30 percent decide a few days before.

With information from AFP via APE – MEB
The Hague, Netherlands

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