The process if the government is not formed, the 37% limit, failure scenario and Tsipras

As the pre-election curtain falls at 12 midnight, it is judgment time for the Greek people. But for a long time everyone agreed: there is no autonomy, so we will have investigative orders according to the Constitution, and that is why they are being prepared in the Presidential Palace as an appropriate process. Starting next Monday. This Sunday is an unprecedented process, as for the first time elections will be held using the simple proportional system, and it looks like, probably (nothing is ruled out in politics) a second round, possibly on June 25. After that, elections will be held through improved proportional voting SW and is not a simple analogue of o Alexis Tsipras He said yesterday that he was proud.

process

Re-parliamentary elections, if no government is formed, will be held within thirty days of failure to form a government through inspection orders following their announcement by decree of President Katerina Sakellaropoulou., signed by the Interim Council of Ministers. Prior to this, the President would appoint a caretaker government, with a caretaker prime minister as one of the heads of the country’s three highest courts, the Council of State, the Supreme Court or the Court of Auditors. John Sharma.

Arithmetic of Simple Proportions

But let’s see what happens in simple proportionality and how 151 seats will be a majority. I asked the interlocutors of the two main parties SW And his SyrizaBut also his former minister PaSoK I’ll do it to you… guys. A party needs 50% of the vote in terms of unrepresented votes (based on the percentage of parties that have left parliament) to form a government. But what is the difference? This almost prohibits a single-party majority, but that does not mean that the first party can be easily ignored in forming a government, especially when it leads by a significant distance.

Equation of ballot box

The total number of votes collected by each parliamentary party in the region is multiplied by 300. And this product is divided by the sum of votes in favor of all the respective parliamentary parties.

Inquiry orders

After the counting of votes in the first election contest, the process of inquiry orders follows. According to Article 37 of the Constitution which defines the procedure, “If no party has an absolute majority, President of the Republic A study gives the leader of the party with a relative majority a mandate to confirm the possibility of forming a government that enjoys the confidence of the Parliament. If this possibility is not established, the President issues an inquiry order to the leader of the second party in parliamentary power, and failing that, the President issues an inquiry order to the leader of the third party. Power of Parliament.

Three days

Each inquiry order is valid for three days. If the scrutinizing orders do not work, the President calls the party leaders and tries to form a government from all if he is convinced that it is not possible to form a government with the confidence of the Parliament. Parties confirmed to enter Parliament to conduct elections. Failing that, he dissolves Parliament, with the broadest possible approval, to form a government to hold elections to the Council of State or the Supreme Court or the President of the Court of Auditors.

What applies to upgraded analogs

But what will happen in the next election? There will be elections with an improved proportional system, where the first party to get 25% of the valid votes or an equivalent percentage will get a bonus of 20 seats. For the remaining 280 seats, they are distributed proportionally among the entitled party seats. From 25%, every 0.5% first party gets a bonus of one seat, while a 40% percentage gets a maximum of 50 seats. These also apply in the case of a coalition of parties, as long as the average strength of the parties composing it is greater than the strength of the independent party which has collected the highest number of valid votes.

Bar 37%

Therefore, a party moving closer to 37% can remain independent depending on other factors such as the number of parties entering parliament. If it gets 40% of the popular vote, it will get an additional 50 seats, the number the first party has received up to this point regardless of its percentage.

Relaxed meetings of principals

Political leaders will drink with recognized political teachers today And depending on their mood there will be an opportunity to discuss a lot at a relaxed pace.

Failure scenario and Tsipras

In this setting, a lot is said about the activities of the parties, and yesterday I stayed in an interview with Alexis Tsipras Lifo., he was asked what he would do if he failed, meaning he was considering resigning and he was deemed irreplaceable. Since the answer was overlooked in the confusion of the last meetings, I present it to you after a relevant discussion with an important executive of SYRIZA – PS. “I don’t think about failure, I only think about success. I will tell you frankly that the majority of people I come in contact with are not my political future, but what their life will be like tomorrow. If I know there are four more years of Mitsotakis, my own political life will be very bad.” He said. The mind understood.

What happened to Bralo Farm?

Now let’s go to the financial areas, as written in the first column, the company that maintains steakhouses – farms, butchers and restaurants in various parts of Attica faced serious financial problems. As a result, it was learned yesterday that its shutdown is continuing. But let’s look at things in a little more detail. Because as I’ve learned, the company isn’t good enough or the concept isn’t “selling”. Rather, its entrepreneurial and founder effort, Tommy Beithy, to create a brand, as he at least said, the meats came from a privately owned farm in Pralos, which was “fishy” enough. But the reality is that not all of the meat comes from Bralows, as a lot of meat is bought from suppliers. Also, I learned that the company had run out of “fuel” due to mismanagement. Third: The store in Kolonaki will reopen. But that’s all there is to it. It is no longer called Bralou Farm because the company has serious problems and no one wants to be associated with them. The particular store will be operated by people related to Tomis Beithi, one of them from his personal environment and the second from the employees of the store.

Partnership Kokalis – Israelis in new company

Now let’s move on to the rest. Sokratis Kokkalis decided to review the operation of the Intracom group in recent years, selling several subsidiaries such as Intracat, Intrasoft International and recently Intracom Defence. But more importantly, as I learned, we will soon see consolidations in the aeronautical technology and aircraft and helicopter repair industry. Because the businessman introduced her Intracom AviationHe participates with 51% Intracom Ventures and 49% Intracom security. A few days ago, a binding agreement was signed for the sale of 90.1% of Intracom Defense. Israel Aerospace Industries, thereby deviating from the group’s traditional activities as we have known it so far. Activities in the aircraft and helicopter repair sector will be of interest as it presents opportunities and investment interests and synergies as Israelis now participate in it with a 49% percentage. Intracom security acquisition.

HIG’s new hotel company

HIG is investing several million euros in Greece. On the back of these investments, he formed another of his interests, Helios Holdings, thereby acquiring a stake in the hotel segment and building a portfolio of tourism-related assets. Let me remind you that HIG, also active in the logistics sector on Greek soil, has assets exceeding 52 billion dollars and has executed investments of 1 billion euros to date, making it one of the top three investment funds in Greece. I remind you recently that he joined Strategic Investments Hull Logistics ParkA total investment of 250 million euros in Aspropyrgos with an area of ​​120,000 square meters. Storage areas when the project is completed.

At the altar of Mykonos

Principode led and Nammos followed. But businesses that follow the letter of the law often pay the price, at the altar of illegal constructions that many businesses indulge in due to the inability of authorities on the island to control them. One such case KriwaliaAn investment in Kalo Livadi for a hotel unit with an investment amount of 120 million euros came to block the State Council. And the company was forced to rethink, redesign. But I’ve heard that the lockouts mainly have a pre-election “flavor” and the super profits some people get from their businesses for breaking the law point to someone in the know. The issue is that I, a person maintaining business operations on the island, must have substantial and permanent barriers. Because she is like the subject Cocomate At the Acropolis, someone gave permission Eumorphides The monument should be concealed. And what I’m learning is that he’s not going to tear down two whole floors like they asked him to.

Whatever Schlavenitis does, it “works”.

Sclavenitis, Greece’s largest group in organized retail, will, one would say, “pay off” whatever he does. But the most interesting thing is that large supermarkets (supermarkets) with an area of ​​more than 2,500 square meters consistently give an advantage in terms of turnover. The most recent data from the Market Measurement Institute, Average, show supermarkets gaining sales share over last year and continuing to grow 11.2% in the second quarter of 2023. So the hidden “weapon” of the Sclavenidis continues to be called “supermarkets”, which were preferred during the pandemic, as people avoided small shops and tried to find bigger ones. But what I see is that these stores are still growing.