Why does Erdogan dare to annex the pseudo-state of Cyprus?

The scenario he wants Recep Tayyip Erdogan Moving ahead before the 2023 Turkish elections to annex the pseudo-state of Northern Cyprus in Turkey It has been written and mentioned several times recently.

Not unfair, if we take it into account The revisionism of the Turkish president But also about his strong desire to be re-elected in the historic elections, exactly 100 years after the establishment of the Turkish Republic.

But when the script is supported Even by former Turkish military (in the case of the Navy) it acquires another basis and leads to second and third thinking.

The man who signs the name Fateh Yorkever (a pseudonym used for security reasons as stated on the site Turkish minute) raises reasonable concerns based on recent events and historical data.

History, the Turkish officer writes, showed that the people support the winners. In this sense, the victory of the Prime Minister over the Turkish invasion of Cyprus in 1974, By Bulent Ecevit In the 1977 elections, a percentage of more than 40% could not go unnoticed by Erdogan.

It’s just that the Turkish president has a definite reality in front of him. The pseudo-state of Cyprus, founded in 1983, is not recognized by any other country in the world, except Turkey.

Also, in accordance with the relevant United Nations resolution”The declaration of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus as an independent state contradicts the 1960 treaty establishing the Republic of Cyprus.”

In short, legitimacy… yikes. But can this stop Erdogan?

According to this article, this can no longer be imagined for two main reasons:

• The first is because the Turkish president feels that the balance of power between powerful countries is no longer the same as it was 20 years ago. American sovereignty is challenged in different ways.
• Second, because the annexation of Crimea by Russia and the extended war that Putin has fought over the past seven months in Ukraine clearly challenges the status quo in Europe as it was formed after the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. Erdogan is in this war with the whole. He supports Ukraine with drones but does not impose sanctions on Turkey and is explicit that Western sanctions policy urgently needs to change.

Then there is the ambiguous relationship between Erdogan and Putin, who have supported each other many times in recent years.

Therefore, the Turkish writer concludes, the scenario of the “Northern Cyprus” annexation of Turkey with Russian support can not be ruled out.

The current leader of the pseudo-state, Ersin Tatar, is choosing Erdogan’s regime while any different voices are “repressed” within the pseudo-state.

The economic situation in Turkey is also causing a sharp deterioration in Erdogan’s ruling coalition, which means that it is needed Some “national success” as the new government’s narrative.

hopefullAnd the The Turkish officer concludes Erdogan should not make in Cyprus the mistake that the Argentines did when they carried out military action in the Falkland Islands in 1982, ignoring the British response that came last and completely changed the situation.

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